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Kamala Harris Closing Gap Against Donald Trump in New Arizona Poll

Vice President Kamala Harris is closing the gap on former President Donald Trump in Arizona, according to freshly released poll results.
A poll released on Tuesday by AARP shows the former president leading the vice president in Arizona by 2 percentage points among likely voters, with 49 percent of respondents supporting Trump and 47 percent supporting Harris.
In June, before President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed Harris, the same poll showed that Trump was ahead in the state by 8 points, leading Biden among likely voters by 45 percent to 37 percent.
Harris gained support in the new poll among voters aged 18 to 34 and voters over 65. Trump’s lead among seniors was cut from 8 points to just 1 point, while a 2-point Republican edge among young voters turned into a 9-point advantage for Democrats.
The AARP poll was conducted by Democratic firm Impact Research and Republican firm Fabrizio Ward, which was co-founded by Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio.
The poll surveyed 600 likely Arizona voters over the phone and online between September 24 and October 1. It has a margin of error of 4 percent.
Newsweek reached out to the Trump and Harris campaigns via email for comment.
Biden defeated Trump in Arizona by a razor-thin margin of fewer than 11,000 votes in 2020, becoming the first Democrat to win the state since former President Bill Clinton in 1996.
Harris and Trump have been neck-and-neck in most other recent Arizona polls taken since the vice president became the Democratic nominee. However, Trump appears to have a small overall advantage.
An average of recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight showed the former president leading the vice president in the state by 1.3 percent as of Tuesday.
A trio of recently released Arizona polls were conducted after the AARP poll, with two out of three giving the Republican candidate an advantage over the Democrat.
A poll released by Redfield & Wilton Strategies/The Telegraph earlier this week showed Trump leading Harris by 1 point, while a survey from RMG Research—a firm founded by pollster Scott Rasmussen—showed Trump up by 4 points.
However, Harris was leading Trump by 1 point in a Republican-sponsored On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies poll released on Tuesday and conducted earlier this week. All three polls surveyed likely Arizona voters.
Arizona is one of at least seven key battleground states that could prove consequential in deciding the winner of this year’s presidential election.
FiveThirtyEight polling averages show that the other swing states are currently split between the candidates. Harris has small leads over Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada, while Trump has small leads in Georgia and North Carolina.
The vice president continues to maintain a small but significant advantage over the former president in national polling, with the FiveThirtyEight average showing her up by 2.7 points at the time of publication.

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